My thoughts on the growing population of India

Issac Asimov a Soviet born American author once said:

“As you put more and more people into the world, the value of life not only declines, it disappears. It does not matter if someone dies, the more people there are, the less one individual matters.”

This is happening not only in India but also  in the Philippines as well as in other over populated countries like  Egypt and China.

When God commanded Adam and Eve to go and multiply,  God did not condemn family planning.

Genesis 1:28

“28And God blessed them, and God said unto them, Be fruitful, and multiply, and replenish the earth, and subdue it: and have dominion over the fish of the sea, and over the fowl of the air, and over every living thing that moveth upon the earth.

In Population Explosion, Command to Multiply; Are They Irreconcilable?

“Children are a heritage of God. (Ps. 127:3).  All married couples should intelligently plan — unless there are extenuating circumstances — to have children. However, it is also plain that God never intended man to procreate like a mindless animal.”

Psalm 127:3 (King James Version)

3Lo, children are an heritage of the LORD: and the fruit of the womb is his reward.

“Man’s mind is patterned after the mind of God Himself — in whose physical and mental image man was created. Man’s mind should be exercised toward the intelligent direction in every facet of life.”
The cost of caring for children also enters the picture. Paul told Timothy:

1 Timothy 5:8 (King James Version)

8But if any provide not for his own, and specially for those of his own house, he hath denied the faith, and is worse than an infidel.

Proverbs 13:22 (King James Version)

22A good man leaveth an inheritance to his children’s children: and the wealth of the sinner is laid up for the just.

“If a married couple has more children than the family head can comfortably support, the children may never reach their full potential in later life.”

In the Population Reference Bureau – the big question for India: IS INDIA’S  POPULATION HEADING TOWARDS 2 BILLION?

(September 2007) Will India be the first—possibly the only—country ever to have 2 billion people? The Population Reference Bureau tackled this question in a new projection series release this month. The answer depends on the course of events in each of India 35 states and Union territories. Under the two scenarios prepared for this study, India’s population would near the 1.8 billion mark by mid-century and may even exceed 2 billion by 2100 unless fertility rates decline more rapidly in India’s largest and poorest states.

India passed the 1 billion population benchmark in 2000, and stands at 1.1 billion in 2007. The government has long been concerned about population growth outpacing economic growth, and India was the first country to adopt a policy to slow population growth. Since the policy was first stated in 1952, the country’s total fertility rate (TFR) has declined from about six children per woman to about three, but fertility levels vary greatly throughout India’s vast territory.

Fertility Decline in the South

The TFR decline has been much greater in its southern states, which have long had much higher rates of literacy and education than northern states. The southern states of Kerala and Tamil Nadu now have TFRs below two children per woman, lower than the U.S. rate. To reduce the national TFR, fertility decline will have to occur in other parts of India, a fact well known to the government and to family planning experts.

Northern States Drive Growth

The large states of the north, the “Hindi Belt,” are key to the future size of India’s population. About 40 percent of Indians live in this region. Two northern states, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, with about 93 million and 188 million people, respectively, are already larger than most of the world’s countries. Both states currently have a TFR of about 4.3 children per woman.


I am shaking my head as I study population trends of different countries. I read about this subject quite a bit during my UCLA studies for my doctorate in Environmental Science. I did my first population study: Family Planning in the People’s Republic of China in 1974, and several other population studies a few years ago. Except China and Europe, for all practical purpose, the world population has continued to increase with some slow down. The majority of world leadership has closed its eyes on this crucial subject. Even when global warming [GW] is discussed in depth, population growth is rarely on the agenda.

A lot of statistics are available; all are unsettling, since nation after nation is unable to grasp the explosive situation we are in. Let’s look at just one example- Egypt.

In 1950 Egypt population was 22 million, now it is 75 million! More than three times larger. They still have the same amount of arable land, but it is less fertile now and less water from the Nile River, their main source of livelihood. Result? More poverty and population dissatisfaction. Western people are unable to grasp the level of deep poverty in the slums of Cairo, for example, it is similar to India’s notorious slums.

Obviously, this population growth leads to larger use of resources, more food, more clothing, more electricity, that is: more energy and more GHG emissions.

Egypt has to be governed by dictatorship since otherwise the population would revolt.

Isaac Asimov was correct when he said that : “Democracy cannot survive overpopulation. Human dignity can not survive overpopulation.”

The United States of America may have slow population growth but the high demand for  comfort dictates very high energy use:

“The US population is growing slowly, but our high demand for comfort dictates very high energy use and large GHG emissions second only to China. We are 4.5% of the global population and consume about one quarter [25%] of all global resources. So, we have a real population problem as far as energy and GHG emissions are concerned. And these cause GW. The US emitted to date around 30% of all accumulated GHG!”

Is there anything that can be done to significantly reduce the growth of global population that we may have a modicum of chance to slow the GHG emissions? Consider the following:

1. The growth of China and India populations is the key to global population impacts on global warming because they have the largest populations and their rate of modernization is the most significant.
2. Both China and India expect major shifts in population from poverty and very low income to the middle class. Some 200 million in each country are projected to move from rural poverty to urban areas with considerably higher standard of living in the next decade or so. Note that India population is 71% rural, and 29% urban. Also half the population does not even have electricity. Therefore, the shift would multiply energy demand by a massive factor.
3. That population shift by China and India would increase their energy use by  an amount equivalent to current US use..
US energy use per GDP is four times better than India or China. Therefore, their new urban population has to increase their standard of living to just one quarter of the US level to cause the same energy and GHG impacts as a full new USA!
Again, although this combined population shift of 400 million would not gain the US standard of living in this period, they are likely to use as much energy as the USA uses now.
4. You can’t reduce the desire for sex. The sex drive is a basic human need and can not be changed.
5. Free use of contraception of all types can not reduce population growth significantly to the level needed, and in the time frame needed. Even China tried it. It did not work.

6. The only methods that achieved fast population reductions to date are either massive war [50 million deaths WWII] or mandatory “one-child” laws in China, [China reduction of 400 million potential births].
7. It is not possible to copy the unique China experience without rigid control on the country.
8. Most countries are “freedom loving” and would not accept population control like in China.
9. If India could impose full human rights to most women in a very short time, women would be able to use all means of birth control, including abortion, at will. This change in women’s freedom is impossible in the time frame we are discussing in a country deep in old traditions that have not changed in centuries among the majority of the rural population.
10. The current accumulation of children and young people in India [and other high population growth countries] will force high population growth rate independent of any new and even drastic population control attempts.
This is destiny, not open to adjustments or question.

11. Some 3/4 of India population is in the child-bearing age.
Median population age is 24 years; 32% of the population is below 14 years! India Population growth rate is 1.38%. It is not a high rate per se, some Muslim countries have over 3% rate, but because India has a large population it has a very high impact.
12. Approximately one forth of India rural population [200 million] is expected to be urbanized in the next decade or so. That move is expected to be accompanied by reduce population growth in this portion of the population.. How much would the national growth drops by this is not yet clear. The current average rate of India is 2.65 children born/woman.

13. China, with slightly higher population has a dictated low rate of only 0.5% due to its one child policy- that is not fully followed. Even this 0.5% is too high for China. Their official aim was/is to have a negative rate to drop to 700 million.

Dr. Albert Bartlett conclusion: “My conclusion:

It would be nearly impossible to reduce global population growth by a significant amount to help in the struggle against global warming.

We do not have the time for slow changes.

And rapid population reductions are not possible, short of massive wars or massive famines.”

THE MEMBERS -CHURCH OF GOD INTERNATIONAL -(  MCGI ) with Brother Eliseo Soriano as the Presiding Minister and Brother Daniel Razon as the Vice Presiding Minister :

The  following link is Brother Eliseo Soriano’s stand on birth control and abortion. ( in Tagalog, portion I have translated in English)


First, we stand on the Rock by which our Faith was founded.

Matthew 16:18 (King James Version)

18And I say also unto thee, That thou art Peter, and upon this rock I will build my church; and the gates of hell shall not prevail against it.

To sustain life (pro-life), we have to control pro – creation.

That man should have control over one self.  To have control over oneself is a Godly character.

If there is self control, there is also birth control.

In the following verse, Brother Eliseo Soriano was saying that the wife does not have control of her own body but the  the husband and the husband   does not have control of his  own body but the wife. If ever there is a need to control it should be with the  mutual agreement between them.

1 Corinthians 7:3 (King James Version)

3Let the husband render unto the wife due benevolence: and likewise also the wife unto the husband.

Titus 2:11 -12 -( King James Version)

11For the grace of God that bringeth salvation hath appeared to all men,

12Teaching us that, denying ungodliness and worldly lusts, we should live soberly, righteously, and godly, in this present world;

Dr. Albert A. Bartlett conclusion is harsh but it is the truth. Unless there is a massive war or famine, the population explosion will never decline.

A scary end to human lives!

We are the Members – Church of God International with Brother Eliseo Soriano as the Presiding Minister and Brother Daniel Razon as the Vice Presiding Minister.

Here are some of our websites:



  1. Marlon

    Thanks for sharing. I must confess that i did not know most of the information! you have done a wonderful work researching this topic, very informative and excellent writing. I enjoyed reading your work!

  2. jocelyn bautista

    @Marlon – Thanks for your time, I know you are a busy man. Regards.

  3. Elns Reyes

    Nice post, Day Lyn. Where did you get this info? You are very resourceful… amazing!!! I love reading your posts. Keep on posting…muwahh ❤

  4. cez

    good job!! you could be a great researcher!

    • jocelyn bautista

      my dear sister,

      please elevate me in your statistic as a blogger at least, not just researcher…hahaha, i love you.

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